# Predictive Club

> AI-powered prediction market analysis platform for Polymarket traders.

Predictive Club provides real-time data analysis, AI-powered insights, and professional tools for prediction market traders. The platform syncs thousands of markets from Polymarket every 5 minutes and offers algorithmic signals, trader leaderboards, and AI analysis powered by Claude.

## Core Features

- **Real-Time Market Data**: 7,900+ active markets synced from Polymarket every 5 minutes
- **AI Market Analysis**: Claude AI-powered fundamental analysis with bull/bear/neutral verdicts
- **Daily Picks**: Algorithm-generated daily predictions with win rate tracking and portfolio simulation
- **Market Scanner**: Filter and scan markets by category, volume, and edge opportunities
- **Opportunity Signals**: 5 algorithmic signals (mispricing, time-sensitive, volume, momentum, surge)
- **Top Traders Leaderboard**: Polymarket trader rankings with bot detection and strategy classification
- **Weather Market Analysis**: Specialized analysis for weather/climate prediction markets
- **Edge Calculator**: Calculate expected value and edge for any market position
- **Gamification**: XP system with levels (Novice to Master), login streaks, and leaderboard

## Pricing

Free to start with 10 welcome credits. Pay-per-use credit system:
- Market Scanner: 3 credits
- AI Analysis: 10 credits
- Weather Analysis: 5 credits
- Edge Calculator: 1 credit

Credit packages: Starter (R$9.90), Explorer (R$24.90), Trader (R$49.90), Pro (R$99.90)

## Links

- Website: https://predictive.club
- Markets: https://predictive.club/markets
- Traders: https://predictive.club/traders
- Opportunities: https://predictive.club/opportunities
- Daily Picks: https://predictive.club/predictions
- Learn: https://predictive.club/learn
- About: https://predictive.club/about
- FAQ: https://predictive.club/faq
- X/Twitter: https://x.com/botr0x
- Telegram: https://t.me/botr0x

## Technical

- Stack: Laravel 11, Livewire 3, Alpine.js, Tailwind CSS
- Data Source: Polymarket Gamma API + Data API
- AI: Claude API (Anthropic) for market analysis
- Languages: Portuguese (PT-BR) and English
- Payments: PIX (Brazil) via Woovi/OpenPix + Stripe (global)

## Detailed Tool Descriptions

### Market Scanner (3 credits)
Scan thousands of Polymarket markets with custom filters. Filter by category (politics, crypto, sports, science, entertainment), volume range, price range, and edge thresholds. Results include edge calculations, volume analysis, and actionable recommendations. History of past scans available.

### AI Market Analysis (10 credits)
Deep fundamental analysis of any Polymarket market powered by Claude AI. Provides: executive summary, recent news context, detailed analysis, bull/bear arguments, risk assessment, catalyst identification, and a final verdict (Bullish/Bearish/Neutral) with confidence score. Results cached for 1 hour per user+market combination. Available in Portuguese and English based on user locale.

### Daily Picks
Algorithm-generated daily predictions focusing on markets resolving within 7 days. Each pick includes: market title, current price, predicted direction (YES/NO), confidence score, and reasoning. Includes portfolio simulation showing hypothetical bankroll growth, win rate tracking, and shareable PnL cards with dynamic OG images.

### Opportunity Signals
Free algorithmic opportunity detection using 5 signals:
1. **Mispricing**: Detects markets where odds may not reflect true probability
2. **Time-Sensitive**: Markets approaching resolution with potential edge
3. **Volume Activity**: Unusual volume patterns indicating smart money
4. **Momentum**: Price direction changes based on 24h+ snapshot history
5. **Volume Surge**: Sudden volume spikes compared to historical average

Composite score (0-100) combines all signals with dynamic weight redistribution.

### Top Traders Leaderboard
Rankings of Polymarket traders by PnL and volume. Features:
- **Bot Detection**: Heuristic analysis (volume patterns, social presence, name, ROI, verification)
- **Strategy Classification**: market_maker, alpha_seeker, informed_trader, volume_trader, speculator, casual
- **Suitability Scores**: Copy score (0-100) and Manual score (0-100) for each trader
- **Favorites**: Save traders to your watchlist
- **Filters**: By period (daily/weekly/monthly/all-time) and category

### Weather Analysis (5 credits)
Specialized tool for weather and climate prediction markets. Filters markets by weather-related keywords and provides focused analysis on meteorological factors, historical weather data, and forecast accuracy.

### Gamification System
XP-based progression system with 5 levels:
- **Novice** (0 XP): Starting level
- **Analyst** (50 XP): Active user
- **Strategist** (150 XP): Regular tool user
- **Expert** (400 XP): Power user
- **Master** (1000 XP): Top contributor

XP sources: AI analysis (+10), Weather analysis (+5), Market scan (+3), Referrals (+15), Credit purchases (+5-20), Favorite traders (+1), Daily login (+2 base, +1/day streak up to +7)

## Data Sources and Update Frequency

- **Markets**: Synced from Polymarket Gamma API every 5 minutes (~7,900 active markets)
- **Trader Data**: Polymarket Data API, cached 5-10 minutes
- **Market Snapshots**: Price/volume history captured every sync, 7-day retention
- **AI Analysis**: Real-time via Claude API, cached 1 hour per analysis
- **Daily Picks**: Generated once daily via cron job

## Supported Languages

- Portuguese (Brazil) - pt_BR (default)
- English - en

All user-facing text is internationalized. Users can switch language anytime.

## About the Platform

Predictive Club is a web-based platform designed for prediction market traders, particularly those active on Polymarket. The platform aggregates real-time market data, applies algorithmic analysis, and leverages artificial intelligence to help traders make more informed decisions.

The platform does not execute trades or hold user funds. It serves as an analytical tool that provides data, insights, and signals. Users interact with Polymarket directly for trading.

Key differentiators:
- Real-time data sync every 5 minutes from Polymarket
- AI analysis powered by Claude (Anthropic) for deep market insights
- Algorithmic opportunity detection with 5 distinct signal types
- Trader leaderboard with bot detection and strategy classification
- Bilingual interface (Portuguese and English)
- Pay-per-use credit system with free tier

## Contact and Social

- Website: https://predictive.club
- X/Twitter: https://x.com/botr0x
- Telegram: https://t.me/botr0x
- Email: noreply@predictive.club